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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Mon 25 Nov 2024

19:45

Venue

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Venezia Win

41%

Venezia

2.44

32%

Draw

3.13

27%

Lecce

3.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.00

0.87

Lecce xG

41%
32%
27%
VeneziaDrawLecce

2.44

41%

Home win

3.13

32%

Draw

3.69

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

42%

Venezia

2.38

32%

Lecce

3.10

Win to Nil

17%

Venezia

5.81

9%

Lecce

11.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 11.7 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 15.3 13.3 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 8.7 7.5 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 3.3 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.133
λ Away (xG) 0.867
Total xG 2.000
League avg home goals 1.353
League avg away goals 1.321
Venezia attack strength 0.866
Venezia defence strength 1.170
Lecce attack strength 0.561
Lecce defence strength 0.967
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 12 / 50