Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

20%

Venezia

5.06

31%

Draw

3.28

50%

Lazio

2.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

0 – 2

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.44

1.54

Lazio xG

20%
31%
50%
VeneziaDrawLazio

5.06

20%

Home win

3.28

31%

Draw

2.01

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

21%

Venezia

4.66

40%

Lazio

2.47

Win to Nil

4%

Venezia

23.56

20%

Lazio

4.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 13.3 10.3 5.3 2.0 0.6
1 7.9 12.1 9.3 4.8 1.8 0.6
2 3.6 5.5 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.3
3 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.906
λ Away (xG) 1.539
Total xG 2.445
League avg home goals 1.334
League avg away goals 1.270
Venezia attack strength 0.730
Venezia defence strength 1.070
Lazio attack strength 1.133
Lazio defence strength 0.931
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 63