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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Bluenergy Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Udinese Win

55%

Udinese

1.81

25%

Draw

3.96

20%

Parma

5.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Udinese xG

Total xG

2.97

1.07

Parma xG

55%
25%
20%
UdineseDrawParma

1.81

55%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

5.13

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

34%

Udinese

2.91

15%

Parma

6.69

Win to Nil

19%

Udinese

5.27

3%

Parma

34.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.5 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.8 10.4 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.9 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.9 6.3 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.8 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.900
λ Away (xG) 1.069
Total xG 2.969
League avg home goals 1.321
League avg away goals 1.207
Udinese attack strength 1.093
Udinese defence strength 1.056
Parma attack strength 0.838
Parma defence strength 1.316
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 26