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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Mon 25 Aug 2025

17:30

Venue

Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hellas Verona Win

33%

Udinese

3.07

32%

Draw

3.16

36%

Hellas Verona

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Udinese xG

Total xG

2.33

1.20

Hellas Verona xG

33%
32%
36%
UdineseDrawHellas Verona

3.07

33%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

30%

Udinese

3.32

32%

Hellas Verona

3.11

Win to Nil

10%

Udinese

10.19

11%

Hellas Verona

8.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 11.6 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.0 13.2 7.9 3.2 0.9 0.2
2 6.2 7.5 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.4 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.135
λ Away (xG) 1.200
Total xG 2.335
League avg home goals 1.153
League avg away goals 1.134
Udinese attack strength 0.979
Udinese defence strength 1.121
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.944
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.006
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38