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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

11:30

Venue

Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

27%

Udinese

3.67

29%

Draw

3.48

44%

Cagliari

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Udinese xG

Total xG

2.32

1.33

Cagliari xG

27%
29%
44%
UdineseDrawCagliari

3.67

27%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

26%

Udinese

3.79

37%

Cagliari

2.69

Win to Nil

7%

Udinese

13.89

16%

Cagliari

6.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 13.1 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.3
1 9.7 12.9 8.6 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 4.8 6.4 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.991
λ Away (xG) 1.332
Total xG 2.323
League avg home goals 1.200
League avg away goals 1.170
Udinese attack strength 0.839
Udinese defence strength 1.246
Cagliari attack strength 0.914
Cagliari defence strength 0.984
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43