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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Bluenergy Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

18%

Udinese

5.46

25%

Draw

4.02

57%

Atalanta

1.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

0 – 2

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Udinese xG

Total xG

2.72

1.79

Atalanta xG

18%
25%
57%
UdineseDrawAtalanta

5.46

18%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

1.76

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

17%

Udinese

6.01

39%

Atalanta

2.53

Win to Nil

3%

Udinese

32.81

22%

Atalanta

4.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 11.8 10.6 6.3 2.8 1.0
1 6.1 10.9 9.8 5.9 2.6 0.9
2 2.8 5.1 4.6 2.7 1.2 0.4
3 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.930
λ Away (xG) 1.794
Total xG 2.724
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.320
Udinese attack strength 0.982
Udinese defence strength 1.143
Atalanta attack strength 1.189
Atalanta defence strength 0.731
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 56