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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

28%

Udinese

3.58

27%

Draw

3.68

45%

AC Milan

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Udinese xG

Total xG

2.47

1.41

AC Milan xG

28%
27%
45%
UdineseDrawAC Milan

3.58

28%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

24%

Udinese

4.11

35%

AC Milan

2.88

Win to Nil

7%

Udinese

14.71

16%

AC Milan

6.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 11.9 8.4 4.0 1.4 0.4
1 8.9 12.6 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 4.7 6.7 4.7 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.7 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.058
λ Away (xG) 1.414
Total xG 2.472
League avg home goals 1.234
League avg away goals 1.062
Udinese attack strength 0.929
Udinese defence strength 1.117
AC Milan attack strength 1.192
AC Milan defence strength 0.923
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41