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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Bluenergy Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Udinese Win

38%

Udinese

2.61

29%

Draw

3.50

33%

AC Milan

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Udinese xG

Total xG

2.80

1.34

AC Milan xG

38%
29%
33%
UdineseDrawAC Milan

2.61

38%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

26%

Udinese

3.82

23%

AC Milan

4.29

Win to Nil

10%

Udinese

9.96

8%

AC Milan

12.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 8.2 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 8.9 11.9 8.0 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.7 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.1 4.2 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.457
λ Away (xG) 1.340
Total xG 2.797
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 1.162
Udinese attack strength 0.985
Udinese defence strength 1.014
AC Milan attack strength 1.138
AC Milan defence strength 1.167
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69