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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

28%

Torino

3.52

30%

Draw

3.30

41%

Atalanta

2.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Torino xG

Total xG

2.02

1.13

Atalanta xG

28%
30%
41%
TorinoDrawAtalanta

3.52

28%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

2.42

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

32%

Torino

3.11

41%

Atalanta

2.43

Win to Nil

9%

Torino

10.94

17%

Atalanta

5.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 15.0 8.5 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 11.8 13.3 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 5.2 5.9 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.887
λ Away (xG) 1.134
Total xG 2.021
League avg home goals 1.195
League avg away goals 1.087
Torino attack strength 0.828
Torino defence strength 0.869
Atalanta attack strength 1.200
Atalanta defence strength 0.896
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41