Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 21 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

40%

Sassuolo

2.48

26%

Draw

3.82

34%

Torino

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.62

1.24

Torino xG

40%
26%
34%
SassuoloDrawTorino

2.48

40%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

29%

Sassuolo

3.45

25%

Torino

3.98

Win to Nil

12%

Sassuolo

8.56

8%

Torino

11.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.0 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.1 12.5 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 7.0 8.6 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.2 4.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.382
λ Away (xG) 1.237
Total xG 2.619
League avg home goals 1.229
League avg away goals 1.105
Sassuolo attack strength 1.029
Sassuolo defence strength 1.202
Torino attack strength 0.931
Torino defence strength 1.092
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 53