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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Mon 24 Nov 2025

19:45

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

39%

Sassuolo

2.56

28%

Draw

3.55

33%

Pisa

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.79

1.32

Pisa xG

39%
28%
33%
SassuoloDrawPisa

2.56

39%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

27%

Sassuolo

3.76

23%

Pisa

4.32

Win to Nil

10%

Sassuolo

9.61

8%

Pisa

13.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 8.2 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.0 11.9 7.9 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 8.7 5.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 3.2 4.3 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.463
λ Away (xG) 1.324
Total xG 2.787
League avg home goals 1.182
League avg away goals 1.124
Sassuolo attack strength 0.844
Sassuolo defence strength 1.125
Pisa attack strength 1.046
Pisa defence strength 1.467
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 11 / 11