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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Parma Win

33%

Sassuolo

3.04

29%

Draw

3.41

38%

Parma

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.17

1.13

Parma xG

33%
29%
38%
SassuoloDrawParma

3.04

33%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

32%

Sassuolo

3.10

35%

Parma

2.82

Win to Nil

11%

Sassuolo

9.43

13%

Parma

7.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 13.0 7.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.9 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.1 7.0 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.1 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.036
λ Away (xG) 1.132
Total xG 2.168
League avg home goals 1.210
League avg away goals 1.102
Sassuolo attack strength 0.907
Sassuolo defence strength 1.191
Parma attack strength 0.862
Parma defence strength 0.945
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 54