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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

19:45

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

47%

Sassuolo

2.14

28%

Draw

3.51

25%

Lecce

4.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

11.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.20

0.88

Lecce xG

47%
28%
25%
SassuoloDrawLecce

2.14

47%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

4.02

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

41%

Sassuolo

2.41

27%

Lecce

3.74

Win to Nil

19%

Sassuolo

5.17

7%

Lecce

15.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1 9.8 4.3 1.3 0.3
1 14.6 12.9 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 8.5 3.7 1.1 0.2
3 4.2 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.318
λ Away (xG) 0.881
Total xG 2.199
League avg home goals 1.212
League avg away goals 1.145
Sassuolo attack strength 1.063
Sassuolo defence strength 1.044
Lecce attack strength 0.737
Lecce defence strength 1.023
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 74