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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 20 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

37%

Sassuolo

2.70

28%

Draw

3.61

35%

Hellas Verona

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.50

1.23

Hellas Verona xG

37%
28%
35%
SassuoloDrawHellas Verona

2.70

37%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

29%

Sassuolo

3.42

28%

Hellas Verona

3.55

Win to Nil

11%

Sassuolo

9.24

10%

Hellas Verona

10.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 10.1 6.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.4 12.8 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.6 8.1 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.8 3.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.266
λ Away (xG) 1.230
Total xG 2.496
League avg home goals 1.230
League avg away goals 1.236
Sassuolo attack strength 0.753
Sassuolo defence strength 1.373
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.725
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.366
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 63