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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

17:30

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

18%

Sassuolo

5.46

25%

Draw

4.02

57%

Como

1.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.6%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.7%

Away win

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.79

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.40

1.61

Como xG

18%
25%
57%
SassuoloDrawComo

5.46

18%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

1.76

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

20%

Sassuolo

5.00

45%

Como

2.21

Win to Nil

4%

Sassuolo

27.27

26%

Como

3.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 14.6 11.7 6.3 2.5 0.8
1 7.2 11.5 9.3 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 2.8 4.6 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.3
3 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.792
λ Away (xG) 1.609
Total xG 2.401
League avg home goals 1.268
League avg away goals 1.171
Sassuolo attack strength 0.894
Sassuolo defence strength 1.165
Como attack strength 1.179
Como defence strength 0.699
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 70