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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

21%

Sassuolo

4.66

26%

Draw

3.83

52%

Atalanta

1.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

0 – 2

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.86

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.36

1.50

Atalanta xG

21%
26%
52%
SassuoloDrawAtalanta

4.66

21%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

1.91

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

22%

Sassuolo

4.50

42%

Atalanta

2.36

Win to Nil

5%

Sassuolo

20.99

22%

Atalanta

4.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 14.2 10.7 5.3 2.0 0.6
1 8.1 12.2 9.1 4.6 1.7 0.5
2 3.5 5.2 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.857
λ Away (xG) 1.504
Total xG 2.361
League avg home goals 1.225
League avg away goals 1.194
Sassuolo attack strength 0.875
Sassuolo defence strength 1.307
Atalanta attack strength 0.964
Atalanta defence strength 0.800
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 64