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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AC Milan Win
23%
4.30
28%
3.58
49%
2.05
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.4%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
0 – 0
10.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.88
Sassuolo xG
Total xG
2.28
1.40
AC Milan xG
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
4.30
23%
Home win
3.58
28%
Draw
2.05
49%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.26
56%
BTTS No
1.80
Clean Sheet
25%
4.05
42%
2.40
Win to Nil
6%
17.43
20%
4.92
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.3 | 14.4 | 10.0 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 12.6 | 8.8 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 3.9 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.877
λ Away (xG)
1.399
Total xG
2.276
League avg home goals
1.236
League avg away goals
1.118
Sassuolo attack strength
0.977
Sassuolo defence strength
1.160
AC Milan attack strength
1.079
AC Milan defence strength
0.727
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
34 / 72