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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

13%

Pisa

7.49

28%

Draw

3.56

59%

Atalanta

1.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

21.4%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.7%

Draw

0 – 2

14.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.49

Pisa xG

Total xG

1.85

1.36

Atalanta xG

13%
28%
59%
PisaDrawAtalanta

7.49

13%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

1.71

59%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

29%

BTTS Yes

3.47

71%

BTTS No

1.41

Clean Sheet

26%

Pisa

3.90

61%

Atalanta

1.63

Win to Nil

3%

Pisa

29.18

36%

Atalanta

2.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.7 21.4 14.5 6.6 2.2 0.6
1 7.7 10.5 7.1 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
4 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.491
λ Away (xG) 1.360
Total xG 1.851
League avg home goals 1.187
League avg away goals 1.183
Pisa attack strength 0.435
Pisa defence strength 1.133
Atalanta attack strength 1.015
Atalanta defence strength 0.951
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 58