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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Parma Win

48%

Parma

2.08

27%

Draw

3.76

25%

Venezia

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Parma xG

Total xG

2.98

1.23

Venezia xG

48%
27%
25%
ParmaDrawVenezia

2.08

48%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

29%

Parma

3.41

17%

Venezia

5.74

Win to Nil

14%

Parma

7.11

4%

Venezia

22.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.3 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.9 11.0 6.7 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.6 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.5 5.6 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.747
λ Away (xG) 1.228
Total xG 2.975
League avg home goals 1.307
League avg away goals 1.302
Parma attack strength 1.057
Parma defence strength 1.318
Venezia attack strength 0.716
Venezia defence strength 1.265
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 20