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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Mon 29 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Parma Win

47%

Parma

2.13

30%

Draw

3.37

24%

Torino

4.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

9.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Parma xG

Total xG

2.33

0.93

Torino xG

47%
30%
24%
ParmaDrawTorino

2.13

47%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

4.26

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

40%

Parma

2.52

25%

Torino

4.08

Win to Nil

19%

Parma

5.38

6%

Torino

17.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 9.0 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.7 12.6 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 8.9 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.5 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.405
λ Away (xG) 0.925
Total xG 2.330
League avg home goals 1.204
League avg away goals 1.113
Parma attack strength 0.995
Parma defence strength 0.948
Torino attack strength 0.877
Torino defence strength 1.172
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42