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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 28 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

36%

Parma

2.75

25%

Draw

4.03

39%

Monza

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

0 – 1

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Parma xG

Total xG

2.88

1.47

Monza xG

36%
25%
39%
ParmaDrawMonza

2.75

36%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

23%

Parma

4.35

24%

Monza

4.12

Win to Nil

8%

Parma

11.97

9%

Monza

10.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 8.2 6.0 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 7.9 11.6 8.5 4.2 1.5 0.5
2 5.6 8.2 6.0 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.6 3.9 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.415
λ Away (xG) 1.470
Total xG 2.885
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.330
Parma attack strength 1.046
Parma defence strength 1.339
Monza attack strength 0.825
Monza defence strength 1.013
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 55