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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 31 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Parma Win

43%

Parma

2.32

28%

Draw

3.54

29%

Lecce

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Parma xG

Total xG

3.00

1.33

Lecce xG

43%
28%
29%
ParmaDrawLecce

2.32

43%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

26%

Parma

3.80

19%

Lecce

5.30

Win to Nil

11%

Parma

8.79

5%

Lecce

18.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.6 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.3 11.1 7.4 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.2 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.8 5.1 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.667
λ Away (xG) 1.334
Total xG 3.001
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.317
Parma attack strength 0.980
Parma defence strength 1.296
Lecce attack strength 0.782
Lecce defence strength 1.254
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 60