Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

31%

Parma

3.22

33%

Draw

3.00

36%

Lazio

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.7%

Away win

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.85

Parma xG

Total xG

1.78

0.93

Lazio xG

31%
33%
36%
ParmaDrawLazio

3.22

31%

Home win

3.00

33%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.88

65%

BTTS No

1.53

Clean Sheet

39%

Parma

2.54

43%

Lazio

2.33

Win to Nil

12%

Parma

8.17

15%

Lazio

6.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.9 15.7 7.3 2.3 0.5 0.1
1 14.3 13.3 6.2 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 6.1 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 1.7 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.3 0.2
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.847
λ Away (xG) 0.931
Total xG 1.778
League avg home goals 1.244
League avg away goals 1.102
Parma attack strength 0.822
Parma defence strength 1.152
Lazio attack strength 0.734
Lazio defence strength 0.829
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52