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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

33%

Parma

3.03

27%

Draw

3.77

40%

Como

2.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Parma xG

Total xG

2.89

1.53

Como xG

33%
27%
40%
ParmaDrawComo

3.03

33%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.47

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

22%

Parma

4.61

26%

Como

3.91

Win to Nil

7%

Parma

13.97

10%

Como

9.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 8.5 6.5 3.3 1.3 0.4
1 7.6 11.6 8.8 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 5.2 7.9 6.0 3.1 1.2 0.4
3 2.3 3.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.364
λ Away (xG) 1.529
Total xG 2.893
League avg home goals 1.199
League avg away goals 1.122
Parma attack strength 1.052
Parma defence strength 1.208
Como attack strength 1.128
Como defence strength 1.081
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34