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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

26%

Parma

3.90

31%

Draw

3.26

44%

Atalanta

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Parma xG

Total xG

2.51

1.45

Atalanta xG

26%
31%
44%
ParmaDrawAtalanta

3.90

26%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

24%

Parma

4.25

34%

Atalanta

2.90

Win to Nil

6%

Parma

16.61

15%

Atalanta

6.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 11.7 8.5 4.1 1.5 0.4
1 8.6 12.5 9.0 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.6 6.7 4.8 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 1.6 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.066
λ Away (xG) 1.448
Total xG 2.514
League avg home goals 1.250
League avg away goals 1.146
Parma attack strength 0.975
Parma defence strength 0.995
Atalanta attack strength 1.270
Atalanta defence strength 0.874
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39