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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

52%

Napoli

1.92

31%

Draw

3.22

17%

Udinese

5.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Napoli xG

Total xG

2.40

0.83

Udinese xG

52%
31%
17%
NapoliDrawUdinese

1.92

52%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

5.88

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

44%

Napoli

2.30

21%

Udinese

4.80

Win to Nil

23%

Napoli

4.42

4%

Udinese

28.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 7.5 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 14.2 11.8 4.9 1.4 0.3
2 11.2 9.3 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 5.8 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.569
λ Away (xG) 0.831
Total xG 2.400
League avg home goals 1.372
League avg away goals 1.314
Napoli attack strength 0.983
Napoli defence strength 0.727
Udinese attack strength 0.870
Udinese defence strength 1.164
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61