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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Napoli Win
45%
2.21
31%
3.21
24%
4.24
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
17.5%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
15.4%
Draw
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.14
Napoli xG
Total xG
1.87
0.73
Lazio xG
NapoliDrawLazio
2.21
45%
Home win
3.21
31%
Draw
4.24
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
56%
Over 1.5
1.79
44%
Under 1.5
2.27
29%
Over 2.5
3.45
71%
Under 2.5
1.41
12%
Over 3.5
8.33
88%
Under 3.5
1.14
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
35%
BTTS Yes
2.83
65%
BTTS No
1.55
Clean Sheet
48%
2.08
32%
3.12
Win to Nil
22%
4.60
8%
13.22
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.4 | 11.3 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 17.5 | 12.8 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 10.0 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.138
λ Away (xG)
0.733
Total xG
1.871
League avg home goals
1.270
League avg away goals
1.161
Napoli attack strength
1.157
Napoli defence strength
0.849
Lazio attack strength
0.744
Lazio defence strength
0.775
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
70 / 70