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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

51%

Napoli

1.96

29%

Draw

3.48

20%

Juventus

4.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Napoli xG

Total xG

2.28

0.83

Juventus xG

51%
29%
20%
NapoliDrawJuventus

1.96

51%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

4.91

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

44%

Napoli

2.28

23%

Juventus

4.27

Win to Nil

22%

Napoli

4.49

5%

Juventus

20.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 8.5 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 14.9 12.3 5.1 1.4 0.3
2 10.8 8.9 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 5.2 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.452
λ Away (xG) 0.826
Total xG 2.278
League avg home goals 1.245
League avg away goals 1.111
Napoli attack strength 1.259
Napoli defence strength 0.838
Juventus attack strength 0.888
Juventus defence strength 0.927
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51