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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

46%

Napoli

2.20

28%

Draw

3.56

26%

Hellas Verona

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Napoli xG

Total xG

2.63

1.11

Hellas Verona xG

46%
28%
26%
NapoliDrawHellas Verona

2.20

46%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

33%

Napoli

3.03

22%

Hellas Verona

4.59

Win to Nil

15%

Napoli

6.65

6%

Hellas Verona

17.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 8.0 4.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 11.0 12.2 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.3 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.7 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.523
λ Away (xG) 1.108
Total xG 2.631
League avg home goals 1.279
League avg away goals 1.312
Napoli attack strength 0.887
Napoli defence strength 0.801
Hellas Verona attack strength 1.054
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.342
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57