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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Napoli Win
57%
1.75
24%
4.17
19%
5.28
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.3%
Draw
2 – 0
11.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.69
Napoli xG
Total xG
2.55
0.86
Fiorentina xG
NapoliDrawFiorentina
1.75
57%
Home win
4.17
24%
Draw
5.28
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.12
53%
BTTS No
1.89
Clean Sheet
42%
2.36
18%
5.42
Win to Nil
24%
4.14
3%
28.64
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8 | 6.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 13.2 | 11.3 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.2 | 9.6 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 6.3 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.691
λ Away (xG)
0.860
Total xG
2.551
League avg home goals
1.241
League avg away goals
1.165
Napoli attack strength
1.120
Napoli defence strength
0.808
Fiorentina attack strength
0.914
Fiorentina defence strength
1.217
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 60