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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

57%

Napoli

1.74

25%

Draw

4.02

18%

Cremonese

5.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Napoli xG

Total xG

2.38

0.77

Cremonese xG

57%
25%
18%
NapoliDrawCremonese

1.74

57%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

5.63

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

46%

Napoli

2.16

20%

Cremonese

4.99

Win to Nil

27%

Napoli

3.76

4%

Cremonese

28.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 7.1 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 14.9 11.5 4.4 1.1 0.2
2 12.0 9.2 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 6.4 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.6 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.607
λ Away (xG) 0.768
Total xG 2.375
League avg home goals 1.251
League avg away goals 1.151
Napoli attack strength 1.092
Napoli defence strength 0.956
Cremonese attack strength 0.698
Cremonese defence strength 1.176
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 33