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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Napoli Win
47%
2.14
27%
3.64
26%
3.86
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.2%
Home win
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.53
Napoli xG
Total xG
2.62
1.09
AC Milan xG
NapoliDrawAC Milan
2.14
47%
Home win
3.64
27%
Draw
3.86
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.89
47%
BTTS No
2.12
Clean Sheet
34%
2.96
22%
4.63
Win to Nil
16%
6.35
6%
17.88
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.2 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 9.3 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.533
λ Away (xG)
1.086
Total xG
2.619
League avg home goals
1.295
League avg away goals
1.173
Napoli attack strength
1.055
Napoli defence strength
0.812
AC Milan attack strength
1.139
AC Milan defence strength
1.122
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 67