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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Napoli Win
15%
6.46
27%
3.70
57%
1.74
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.4%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 2
12.1%
Away win
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.78
Monza xG
Total xG
2.46
1.68
Napoli xG
MonzaDrawNapoli
6.46
15%
Home win
3.70
27%
Draw
1.74
57%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.19
54%
BTTS No
1.84
Clean Sheet
19%
5.39
46%
2.18
Win to Nil
3%
34.78
26%
3.79
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 14.4 | 12.1 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 11.2 | 9.4 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.778
λ Away (xG)
1.684
Total xG
2.462
League avg home goals
1.251
League avg away goals
1.150
Monza attack strength
0.743
Monza defence strength
1.240
Napoli attack strength
1.181
Napoli defence strength
0.837
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
70 / 70