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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

U-Power Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

34%

Monza

2.94

33%

Draw

3.04

33%

Lecce

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Monza xG

Total xG

2.57

1.27

Lecce xG

34%
33%
33%
MonzaDrawLecce

2.94

34%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

28%

Monza

3.58

27%

Lecce

3.65

Win to Nil

10%

Monza

10.51

9%

Lecce

11.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.8 6.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 9.9 12.6 8.1 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.4 8.2 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.294
λ Away (xG) 1.274
Total xG 2.568
League avg home goals 1.351
League avg away goals 1.315
Monza attack strength 0.793
Monza defence strength 1.080
Lecce attack strength 0.897
Lecce defence strength 1.209
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62