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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Mon 13 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

U-Power Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

17%

Monza

5.74

27%

Draw

3.77

56%

Fiorentina

1.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.3%

Away win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Monza xG

Total xG

2.53

1.68

Fiorentina xG

17%
27%
56%
MonzaDrawFiorentina

5.74

17%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

1.78

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

19%

Monza

5.39

43%

Fiorentina

2.33

Win to Nil

3%

Monza

30.94

24%

Fiorentina

4.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 13.4 11.3 6.4 2.7 0.9
1 6.7 11.3 9.6 5.4 2.3 0.8
2 2.8 4.8 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.3
3 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.844
λ Away (xG) 1.684
Total xG 2.528
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.303
Monza attack strength 0.801
Monza defence strength 1.147
Fiorentina attack strength 1.126
Fiorentina defence strength 0.822
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 56