Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

14:00

Venue

U-Power Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

9%

Monza

11.17

20%

Draw

5.07

71%

Atalanta

1.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

15.7%

Away win

0 – 3

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.54

Monza xG

Total xG

2.52

1.98

Atalanta xG

20%
71%
MonzaDrawAtalanta

11.17

9%

Home win

5.07

20%

Draw

1.40

71%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.75

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

14%

Monza

7.22

58%

Atalanta

1.72

Win to Nil

1%

Monza

80.68

41%

Atalanta

2.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 15.9 15.7 10.4 5.1 2.0
1 4.4 8.6 8.5 5.6 2.8 1.1
2 1.2 2.3 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.3
3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
4 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.543
λ Away (xG) 1.977
Total xG 2.520
League avg home goals 1.171
League avg away goals 1.108
Monza attack strength 0.733
Monza defence strength 1.202
Atalanta attack strength 1.484
Atalanta defence strength 0.633
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72