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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Udinese Win

27%

Lecce

3.65

34%

Draw

2.95

39%

Udinese

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.30

1.27

Udinese xG

27%
34%
39%
LecceDrawUdinese

3.65

27%

Home win

2.95

34%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

28%

Lecce

3.55

35%

Udinese

2.82

Win to Nil

8%

Lecce

12.94

14%

Udinese

7.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 12.6 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
1 10.4 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.4 6.8 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 1.9 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.038
λ Away (xG) 1.267
Total xG 2.305
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.271
Lecce attack strength 0.675
Lecce defence strength 1.110
Udinese attack strength 0.898
Udinese defence strength 1.146
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63