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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Torino Win

23%

Lecce

4.38

30%

Draw

3.36

47%

Torino

2.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.15

1.32

Torino xG

23%
30%
47%
LecceDrawTorino

4.38

23%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

2.11

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

27%

Lecce

3.74

44%

Torino

2.29

Win to Nil

6%

Lecce

16.38

21%

Torino

4.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 15.4 10.1 4.5 1.5 0.4
1 9.7 12.8 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 4.0 5.3 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
3 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.830
λ Away (xG) 1.319
Total xG 2.149
League avg home goals 1.207
League avg away goals 1.147
Lecce attack strength 0.655
Lecce defence strength 1.243
Torino attack strength 0.925
Torino defence strength 1.050
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74