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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

35%

Lecce

2.83

28%

Draw

3.52

36%

Sassuolo

2.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.67

1.35

Sassuolo xG

35%
28%
36%
LecceDrawSassuolo

2.83

35%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

2.76

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

26%

Lecce

3.85

27%

Sassuolo

3.77

Win to Nil

9%

Lecce

10.89

10%

Sassuolo

10.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 9.3 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.3
1 9.2 12.3 8.3 3.7 1.3 0.3
2 6.1 8.2 5.5 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 2.7 3.6 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.327
λ Away (xG) 1.347
Total xG 2.674
League avg home goals 1.222
League avg away goals 1.140
Lecce attack strength 0.929
Lecce defence strength 1.256
Sassuolo attack strength 0.941
Sassuolo defence strength 1.168
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 6