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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 12 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lecce Win

42%

Lecce

2.39

28%

Draw

3.60

30%

Pisa

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.59

1.17

Pisa xG

42%
28%
30%
LecceDrawPisa

2.39

42%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

31%

Lecce

3.23

24%

Pisa

4.14

Win to Nil

13%

Lecce

7.70

7%

Pisa

13.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 8.8 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.6 12.5 7.3 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 8.9 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.6 4.2 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.421
λ Away (xG) 1.172
Total xG 2.593
League avg home goals 1.250
League avg away goals 1.128
Lecce attack strength 0.794
Lecce defence strength 0.975
Pisa attack strength 1.065
Pisa defence strength 1.431
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 14