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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 11 Jan 2026

11:30

Venue

Stadio Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Parma Win

27%

Lecce

3.71

32%

Draw

3.08

41%

Parma

2.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.78

Lecce xG

Total xG

1.80

1.03

Parma xG

27%
32%
41%
LecceDrawParma

3.71

27%

Home win

3.08

32%

Draw

2.47

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.89

65%

BTTS No

1.53

Clean Sheet

36%

Lecce

2.79

46%

Parma

2.17

Win to Nil

10%

Lecce

10.35

19%

Parma

5.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.5 16.9 8.7 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 12.8 13.1 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 5.0 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.776
λ Away (xG) 1.026
Total xG 1.802
League avg home goals 1.165
League avg away goals 1.176
Lecce attack strength 0.689
Lecce defence strength 1.070
Parma attack strength 0.815
Parma defence strength 0.966
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56