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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Napoli Win
14%
7.24
25%
4.01
61%
1.63
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
16.0%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 2
13.5%
Away win
1 – 1
10.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.67
Lecce xG
Total xG
2.36
1.69
Napoli xG
LecceDrawNapoli
7.24
14%
Home win
4.01
25%
Draw
1.63
61%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.48
60%
BTTS No
1.68
Clean Sheet
19%
5.40
51%
1.95
Win to Nil
3%
39.06
31%
3.19
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5 | 16.0 | 13.5 | 7.6 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 10.7 | 9.0 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.670
λ Away (xG)
1.686
Total xG
2.356
League avg home goals
1.186
League avg away goals
1.124
Lecce attack strength
0.690
Lecce defence strength
1.319
Napoli attack strength
1.137
Napoli defence strength
0.818
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
72 / 72