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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

11:30

Venue

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

29%

Lecce

3.43

28%

Draw

3.59

43%

Monza

2.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.32

1.30

Monza xG

29%
28%
43%
LecceDrawMonza

3.43

29%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.33

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

27%

Lecce

3.67

36%

Monza

2.76

Win to Nil

8%

Lecce

12.60

16%

Monza

6.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 12.8 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
1 10.0 13.0 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.1 6.6 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.7 2.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.017
λ Away (xG) 1.300
Total xG 2.317
League avg home goals 1.340
League avg away goals 1.312
Lecce attack strength 0.820
Lecce defence strength 1.181
Monza attack strength 0.839
Monza defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53