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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

22%

Lecce

4.46

34%

Draw

2.94

44%

Lazio

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

19.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

19.6%

Away win

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.63

Lecce xG

Total xG

1.63

1.00

Lazio xG

22%
34%
44%
LecceDrawLazio

4.46

22%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

49%

Over 1.5

2.04

51%

Under 1.5

1.96

22%

Over 2.5

4.55

78%

Under 2.5

1.28

8%

Over 3.5

12.50

92%

Under 3.5

1.09

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

30%

BTTS Yes

3.39

70%

BTTS No

1.42

Clean Sheet

37%

Lecce

2.73

53%

Lazio

1.87

Win to Nil

8%

Lecce

12.15

23%

Lazio

4.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.6 19.6 9.8 3.3 0.8 0.2
1 12.3 12.3 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 3.9 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
4 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.628
λ Away (xG) 1.003
Total xG 1.631
League avg home goals 1.192
League avg away goals 1.159
Lecce attack strength 0.705
Lecce defence strength 1.128
Lazio attack strength 0.767
Lazio defence strength 0.747
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59