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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

28%

Lecce

3.61

24%

Draw

4.11

48%

Lazio

2.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.84

1.65

Lazio xG

28%
24%
48%
LecceDrawLazio

3.61

28%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.09

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

19%

Lecce

5.19

30%

Lazio

3.30

Win to Nil

5%

Lecce

18.75

15%

Lazio

6.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 9.6 7.9 4.4 1.8 0.6
1 7.0 11.5 9.5 5.2 2.1 0.7
2 4.2 6.8 5.6 3.1 1.3 0.4
3 1.7 2.7 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.193
λ Away (xG) 1.647
Total xG 2.840
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.333
Lecce attack strength 0.903
Lecce defence strength 1.143
Lazio attack strength 1.082
Lazio defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54