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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

12%

Lecce

8.52

23%

Draw

4.36

65%

Inter

1.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

14.8%

Away win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.58

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.33

1.74

Inter xG

12%
23%
65%
LecceDrawInter

8.52

12%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

1.53

65%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.72

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

17%

Lecce

5.71

56%

Inter

1.79

Win to Nil

2%

Lecce

48.68

36%

Inter

2.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 17.0 14.8 8.6 3.7 1.3
1 5.7 9.9 8.7 5.0 2.2 0.8
2 1.7 2.9 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.585
λ Away (xG) 1.743
Total xG 2.328
League avg home goals 1.231
League avg away goals 1.232
Lecce attack strength 0.736
Lecce defence strength 1.008
Inter attack strength 1.403
Inter defence strength 0.645
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63