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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

7%

Lecce

13.35

20%

Draw

5.08

73%

Inter

1.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

14.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

0 – 3

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.64

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.90

2.26

Inter xG

20%
73%
LecceDrawInter

13.35

7%

Home win

5.08

20%

Draw

1.37

73%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

10%

Lecce

9.58

53%

Inter

1.89

Win to Nil

1%

Lecce

127.95

38%

Inter

2.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 12.4 14.1 10.6 6.0 2.7
1 3.5 8.0 9.0 6.8 3.8 1.7
2 1.1 2.5 2.9 2.2 1.2 0.6
3 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.639
λ Away (xG) 2.260
Total xG 2.899
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.310
Lecce attack strength 0.787
Lecce defence strength 1.077
Inter attack strength 1.601
Inter defence strength 0.596
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 58