Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 27 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

33%

Lecce

3.01

32%

Draw

3.14

35%

Como

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.5%

Away win

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Lecce xG

Total xG

1.90

0.96

Como xG

33%
32%
35%
LecceDrawComo

3.01

33%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.67

63%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

38%

Lecce

2.62

39%

Como

2.54

Win to Nil

13%

Lecce

7.91

14%

Como

7.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.0 14.5 7.0 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 14.0 13.5 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 6.5 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.2
3 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.931
λ Away (xG) 0.964
Total xG 1.895
League avg home goals 1.238
League avg away goals 1.088
Lecce attack strength 0.783
Lecce defence strength 0.888
Como attack strength 0.998
Como defence strength 0.960
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53