Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

25%

Lecce

3.96

31%

Draw

3.27

44%

Como

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.7%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.39

1.39

Como xG

25%
31%
44%
LecceDrawComo

3.96

25%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

25%

Lecce

4.03

37%

Como

2.72

Win to Nil

6%

Lecce

15.94

16%

Como

6.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 12.7 8.9 4.1 1.4 0.4
1 9.1 12.7 8.9 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 4.6 6.4 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.5 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.001
λ Away (xG) 1.393
Total xG 2.394
League avg home goals 1.258
League avg away goals 1.138
Lecce attack strength 0.712
Lecce defence strength 1.214
Como attack strength 1.008
Como defence strength 1.118
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 32