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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atalanta Win
25%
3.97
30%
3.35
45%
2.23
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.9%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.2%
Draw
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.82
Lecce xG
Total xG
2.02
1.20
Atalanta xG
LecceDrawAtalanta
3.97
25%
Home win
3.35
30%
Draw
2.23
45%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.55
61%
BTTS No
1.64
Clean Sheet
30%
3.32
44%
2.27
Win to Nil
8%
13.18
20%
5.06
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.2 | 15.9 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.9 | 13.1 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.821
λ Away (xG)
1.201
Total xG
2.022
League avg home goals
1.267
League avg away goals
1.176
Lecce attack strength
0.786
Lecce defence strength
1.068
Atalanta attack strength
0.957
Atalanta defence strength
0.825
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
68 / 68